Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 43.426059 51.158588 59.618660 69.529077 80.785782 93.139223 107.685764
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 31.700409 41.924852 54.183680 69.820679 89.078824 111.855394 140.649146
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 25.236566 36.556430 51.123663 70.932037 96.811985 129.093456 171.967641
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 18.807996 29.682631 44.625783 66.156125 95.795644 134.513305 188.143804
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 16.110935 27.296047 43.511448 67.981631 103.078739 150.587684 218.533392
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 13.380700 24.310258 41.001624 67.327527 106.568602 161.466961 242.309877
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 12.352841 23.765909 41.946767 71.650384 117.287751 182.790760 281.443261
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.843020 20.320172 37.888764 67.828821 115.504366 186.009009 294.990231
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.905798 19.438994 37.824001 70.189240 123.145663 203.238285 329.458592
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.483725 19.424670 39.183075 74.926990 134.746303 226.907137 374.462402
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.718434 18.616857 39.034990 77.061332 142.234677 244.607931 411.234963
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.870539 17.494716 38.167104 77.822965 147.440951 258.933827 443.396177
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.647283 15.473213 35.584008 75.695084 148.347545 267.641142 469.182756
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.838447 14.214287 34.336275 75.940366 153.476095 283.690140 507.843472
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.238559 13.304407 33.645835 77.125577 160.293832 302.845043 552.402416
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.245677 11.148388 29.968597 71.999563 155.167244 301.513610 563.290375
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.909567 10.642026 29.826036 73.959004 163.285699 323.228473 613.402446
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.458977 9.686490 28.492947 73.256944 166.223694 335.983286 648.891671
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.356698 9.750745 29.599305 77.895286 179.864038 368.399168 719.418981
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.845040 8.363168 26.888270 73.794991 175.796971 368.622589 734.052011
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.692887 8.132411 27.100925 76.327869 185.326747 394.173594 794.225304
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.650927 8.285845 28.358735 81.408917 200.441856 430.769942 875.420792
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.508639 8.024829 28.442079 83.696726 209.821305 456.982145 938.920021